Premier League top scorers ranked by shot conversion

Premier League top scorers with seven goals or more feature on this list…

13) Patrick Bamford (Leeds United)
Shot conversion: 19%
Shot accuracy: 53%
Goals: 10
xG: 10.65

So disheartened was Bamford with his seven shots against Tottenham with no reward that he took no shots at all as Leeds huffed and puffed to no avail against West Ham on Saturday. Nobody has missed more Opta-defined Big Chances than Bamford this season, but nobody but perhaps the man himself expected him to hit double figures before the half-way mark.

12) Marcus Rashford (Manchester United)
Shot conversion: 22%
Shot accuracy: 66%
Goals: 7
xG: 6.27

After four goals in four Premier League games playing from his favoured left, Rashford has suffered three blanks as he has been pushed either right or central. Neither role really suits him anymore; he has never been the most natural of finishers.

11) Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur)
Shot conversion: 22%
Shot accuracy: 47%
Goals: 12
xG: 10.78

He takes almost 40% of his shots from outside the penalty area and that kind of shoot-on-sight policy does not earn a great shot conversion rate. But he will care little as he has scored in three successive Premier League games as Spurs sit within a point of Liverpool.

10) Neal Maupay (Brighton)
Shot conversion: 28%
Shot accuracy: 68%
Goals: 7
xG: 9.06

The statistics tell us that Brighton are a decent striker away from being at least a mid-table team, but they have at least picked up six points in their last six games thanks in part to three goals from the Frenchman.

9) Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United)
Shot conversion: 28%
Shot accuracy: 68%
Goals: 11
xG: 9.15

He takes more shots than most strikers – only Kane and Bamford have taken more this season – with over half coming from outside the area. Eight shots in his last two goalless games is a new low for Fernandes, who frankly looks a bit knackered.

8) Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal)
Shot conversion: 29%
Shot accuracy: 75%
Goals: 7
xG: 6.83

Nobody on this list is better at hitting the target than the Frenchman, who broke a long drought with four goals in three games over the festive period. He was excellent against Newcastle on Monday night but others got the goals.

7) Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton)
Shot conversion: 29%
Shot accuracy: 63%
Goals: 11
xG: 10.52

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The goals dried up in early December for DCL, who has not been gifted the same kind of service as Everton have tightened up at the back. He may have just needed the rest afforded him by a hamstring injury and Aston Villa’s ongoing Covid woes.

6) Mo Salah (Liverpool)
Shot conversion: 30%
Shot accuracy: 60%
Goals: 13
xG: 9.51

Four Premier League games without a goal have left some questioning whether Salah really is any good after all, but they are fools. Salah was poor against Manchester United on Sunday but he is still posting some extraordinary numbers.

5) Jamie Vardy (Leicester City)
Shot conversion: 31%
Shot accuracy: 61%
Goals: 11
xG: 12.48

Slowed down after a blistering start to the season (who hasn’t?) and is now on a run of blanks going back to before Christmas, but he is now 34 so some slack is certainly due.

4) Danny Ings (Southampton)
Shot conversion: 32%
Shot accuracy: 68%
Goals: 7
xG: 4.51

Injuries have not helped but there has certainly been a slowing-down of Ings’ prowess this season, which started with six goals by early December. His winner against Liverpool is one of only two goals from the faltering Saints since then.

3) Wilfried Zaha (Crystal Palace)
Shot conversion: 33%
Shot accuracy: 54%
Goals: 8
xG: 6.09

Still on course for his best return of any Premier League season but just one goal in his last seven games emphasises both his and Palace’s struggles in a season threatening to peter out to nothingness.

2) Callum Wilson (Newcastle United)
Shot conversion: 33%
Shot accuracy: 50%
Goals: 8
xG: 9.48

Add his name to the list of players whose form has plummeted over the last six weeks since we last did this feature. It’s a pretty bloody thankless task playing up front for this Newcastle side.

1) Son Heung-Min (Tottenham)
Shot conversion: 46%
Shot accuracy: 73%
Goals: 12
xG: 7.28

We knew all along that the numbers were unsustainable, but even with Son reverting to somewhere close to the mean, he is still so far ahead of his contemporaries that he is barely a dot on the horizon.

Shot conversion rates come courtesy of the BBC. Any xG references are taken from understat.

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